Trump had no philosophy, no principles and no plan to govern, and yet the GOP supported his rise to power – with distastrous consequences. The party needs to understand how that happened before it can do better
Members of the National Guard rest beside a statue of Republican president Abraham Lincoln in the U.S. Capitol Rotunda on Jan. 13 ahead of the House vote to impeach Donald Trump.
SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images
John Bolton is the former national security adviser to President Donald Trump and served as the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations from 2005 to 2006. He is the author of The Room Where It Happened: A White House Memoir.
The United States, its Constitution and its civic structures suffered a miserable four years during Donald Trumps presidency. His duplicity, short attention span, ignorance of history and cluelessness about the actual workings of the very government he headed among other things brought to the Oval Office unequalled incompetence. His words and his conduct exacerbated partisan tensions already too high when he took office and undermined public faith in the integrity of critical government institutions, particularly the credibility of Americas entire electoral process.
Mr. Trumps tenure would have dismayed the Founding Fathers most tragically on Jan. 6, when heincited a mob to enter the Capitol buildingin Washington, intending to disrupt Congress from fulfilling its constitutional responsibility to certify the 2020 election results. His second impeachment by the House of Representatives, and the general public outrage, show how unhappy Americans are with his conduct.
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While the Constitution is fortunately far stronger than the likes of Mr. Trump, we should nonetheless all remember Ronald Reagans wise counsel: Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didnt pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same, or one day we will spend our sunset years telling our children and our childrens children what it was once like in the United States, where men were free.
Mr. Trumps departure from office is a relief, but it obviously does not repair the significant damage he has caused. To begin the recovery effort, we must understand fully why Mr. Trumps appearance on Americas political scene represented an aberration of historical dimensions. Once that phenomenon is better appreciated, the way forward becomes clearer.
John Bolton, then the U.S. national security adviser, listens to Donald Trump in the Oval Office in 2019.
BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images
Fundamentally, Mr. Trump has no philosophy, does not think in terms of policy (as we normally understand that term) and sees essentially everything through the prism of what benefits Donald Trump. Thus, his decisions as President constitute an archipelago of dots, as I wrote in my recent book, not a coherent pattern resting on principles and logic. Mr. Trump is not a conservative. He is not a liberal, either. He is simply entirely pro-Trump.
His favourite lawyer, Roy Cohn, once described how former senator Joseph McCarthy (a Republican from Wisconsin) became an anti-Communist: Joe McCarthy bought anti-communism in much the same way as other people purchase a new automobile. The salesman showed him the model; he looked at it with interest, examined it more closely, kicked the tires, sat at the wheel, squiggled in the seat, asked some questions and bought. It was just as cold as that.
It is entirely possible that Mr. Cohn taught Mr. Trump this very lesson about conservatism. Whatever the background, the contrast between Mr. Reagan and Mr. Trump could not be more vivid.
Mr. Trumps approach to business in his pre-White House years, which he himself has described, was entirely transactional: buy this property, sell that property and move on to the next deal. Mr. Trumps final balance sheet has not yet been written, and it may be that his transactional style brought him all that he wanted in private life. For Americas governance, however, it is wholly inadequate especially in national-security matters.
Without a coherent philosophical framework, Mr. Trumps decisions (including all those with which I strongly agreed) emerged through discrete deals that he found beneficial to him personally, not because he believed in what he was doing. A roulette wheel is more philosophically consistent than Mr. Trumps decision-making.
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Mr. Trump and his wife, Melania Trump, dance at the Salute To Our Armed Services inaugural ball in 2017 after his swearing-in as president.
Evan Vucci/The Associated Press
This is far from saying, of course, that Mr. Trump made only erroneous substantive decisions as President. Au contraire. During the 2016 campaign, to gain the support of conservatives, especially evangelical Christians, he promised to nominate judges who were originalists in their interpretation of the Constitution and laws. This he did. He endorsed, if elected, lower taxes and less economic regulation orthodoxy that any Republican presidential nominee would advocate. This he did. He repeatedly stressed opposition to the Obama administrations 2015 Iran nuclear deal, and pledged to withdraw from it. This he did. (And, in full disclosure, ramrodding this withdrawal through the bureaucracy was my principal focus during my first 30 days as national security adviser something in which I take considerable satisfaction.)
On the other hand, Mr. Trump was the most profligate spender in U.S. history, particularly during the coronavirus pandemic, when fiscal discipline disappeared from a nominally Republican White House. Why should Mr. Trump care? Its not his money. He supported reversal of criminal sentencing principles that had been hard-fought-for under Mr. Reagan, whose administration sought to limit the federal judiciarys sentencing discretion, especially to prevent overly lenient sentences.
In the national-security field, Mr. Trump, among other mistakes, blotted his copybook by craving a new deal with Irans ayatollahs on their nuclear weapons program; by seeking deals with strongmen Kim Jong-un, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Recep Tayyip Erdogan and so on ad infinitum. I can say with confidence he had little or no idea what the terms of such deals would be. He simply wanted deals he could announce with great fanfare because he saw them as marks of success. Who reads the fine print, anyway?
Worst of all, his erratic, non-strategic, utterly self-centred approach led directly to the disastrous U.S. response to the pandemic. This was a slow-moving crisis, one with terrible human costs. In a fast-moving international crisis say, a nuclear confrontation with Russia or China I believe Mr. Trumps flaws would have almost certainly recurred. Fortunately, we were spared such a scenario, but had one erupted, Mr. Trump might well have simply melted down.
Mr. Trumps opponents on the left side of the political spectrum routinely group his personal faults together with his decisions as President. In the same breath, for example, opponents list his mendaciousness, his withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal and his lack of self-discipline as if they were equivalent failings. They are attacking both Mr. Trump and the conservative philosophy as if the two were interchangeable. Doing so may gratify the critics, but it is fundamentally mistaken analytically.
For conservatives at least, it is precisely the important distinction between Mr. Trumps personal deficiencies and his utter lack of any philosophy that should be our focus looking ahead. In concrete political terms, that means above all fixing conservatisms chosen political vehicle, the Republican Party. The damage Mr. Trump caused is real, and, from his Mar-a-Lago bunker, he will likely obstruct our repair efforts. But the task is far from insuperable.
One of the pro-Trump invaders of the Capitol building poses for a picture with the Ronald Reagan statue in the Capitol Rotunda on Jan. 6.
SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images
What model should Republicans follow? Returning to a Reaganite view of public policy, domestically and internationally, would do just fine. Todays issues are obviously different from Mr. Reagans time, but his principles remain correct, never better explained than in his Oval Office farewell address just days before his second term ended in January, 1989. In those remarks, we also saw Mr. Reagans characteristic optimism, so different from Trumps American carnage.
One of Reagans anecdotes, embodying both policy and perspective, stands out he called it a small story about a big ship, and a refugee and a sailor. It was back in the early eighties, at the height of the boat people, and the sailor was hard at work on the carrier Midway, which was patrolling the South China Sea. The sailor, like most American servicemen, was young, smart and fiercely observant. The crew spied on the horizon a leaky little boat and crammed inside were refugees from Indochina hoping to get to America. The Midway sent a small launch to bring them to the ship, and safety. As the refugees made their way through the choppy seas, one spied the sailor on deck, and stood up and called out to him. He yelled, Hello, American sailor hello, Freedom Man.
These are words Mr. Trump is simply incapable of uttering, let alone conceiving.
Returning to Mr. Reagans fundamental conservative principles leads some to ask who the new Reagan will be. That is the wrong approach. Indeed, it is dangerously close to the mistake many made with Mr. Trump. Politics, at least for conservatives, is about policy, not personalities. One of Mr. Trumps worst consequences was torquing Americas political discourse around the question whether people agreed with Mr. Trump or not. That is, ultimately, a totally irrelevant question. Loyalty oaths to individuals contravene basic democratic theory our loyalties should have higher aspirations: the country, the Constitution and our conscience.
There will never be another Ronald Reagan, just as the Democrats will never have another Franklin D. Roosevelt. Instead, looking to the 2022 midterm House and Senate elections and the 2024 presidential race, Republicans should seek candidates who can articulate a conservative philosophy, not fealty to any individual.
In the wake of Mr. Trump, emphasizing character must also be a key factor. Many decent, honourable people agree that Mr. Trump had a hole where his character should have been, but argued nonetheless that Republicans had to overlook this unpleasant reality. We cannot allow ourselves to settle for second-best (or worse). Looking ahead, we should insist that we recruit, nominate and elect candidates who are both philosophically conservative and possessed of real character.
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Trump supporters rally ahead of the President’s arrival in McAllen, Texas, on Jan. 12 for his farewell tour of the border wall.
MARK FELIX/AFP via Getty Images
To be successful, therefore, conservatives will need to spend considerable time and effort over the next four years fixing the institutions and structures of the Republican Party. It is essential that party committees and organizations remain strictly neutral as members select nominees at all levels: local, state and federal. Neither Mr. Trump nor anyone else should be allowed to tip the scales in their favour, or in favour of candidates they endorse. Ensuring this neutrality at the Republican National Committee for example, in allowing fair and equitable access to its enormous amount of voter information, polling data and the like is crucial. Party structures should not be at anyones beck and call certainly not Mr. Trumps. Over the next several years, all eyes will be on the RNC leadership, and the state parties, to ensure scrupulous neutrality.
Defeat does not entitle Mr. Trump to further influence it entitles him to retirement. At noon on Jan. 20, everyone should understand that Mr. Trump moved from the most powerful office in the world to the swimming pool at Mar-a-Lago. He will doubtless still have influence, but he does not have power. This is a decisive inflection point, dawning on everyone with increasing clarity. Even before the Jan. 6 tragedy, Mr. Trumps influence was declining, as reflected in Decembers congressional override of his veto of the crucial defence authorization bill. Mr. Trump, of course, is a major contributor to his own decline, by falsely denying the outcome of the 2020 election, and provoking both the congressional efforts to overturn those elections and the mob that entered the Capitol at his behest. This is fitting: Mr. Trump is always the star in his own mind even when shooting himself in the foot.
Joe Bidens inauguration reflects not only Mr. Trumps loss of power, but the dramatic and irreversible shift of the U.S.s attention to the new administration. I take no joy in this, especially in the national-security domain, because I believe the new presidents likely policy directions will frequently be grievously in error. But it is also inevitable, as new policy lines are drawn and new political battles break out, that the national attention will focus on current events and not the rapidly receding past. In addition to substantive disagreements, in Congress it has ever been true that the duty of the opposition is to oppose. More likely than not, therefore, internal Republican disagreements over Mr. Trump which remain significant will nonetheless subside over time as Republicans unite to make their shared rejection of Mr. Bidens policies more effective. Who will cite a disgraced Mr. Trump as support for any policy position? No Republican who expects to succeed over the long term, that is certain.
The Biden administrations opening years thus represent for Republicans a two-front struggle: repairing their damaged party while simultaneously preventing the new administration, faced with a Congress in both houses divided almost exactly 50-50, from achieving its worst philosophical objectives. There is little time left to worry about what Mr. Trump says or does. He should go play golf. We have better things to do.
Mr. Trump plays golf at his West Palm Beach club this past Dec. 30.
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