Weird News

Tax measure signals government is ‘uncomfortable’ with speculation in market, says bank economist

An aerial view of houses in Oshawa, Ont., in 2017.
Lars Hagberg/The Canadian Press
Ottawa unveiled a 1-per-cent vacant home tax for foreign owners and an additional $2.5-billion to build affordable housing, measures that will increase housing supply but do little to moderate the countrys overheated real estate market.
Under the federal governments budget plan, the tax will be levied on foreigners if their Canadian properties are deemed unproductive. The tax is designed to ensure non-Canadians either rent or sell their property instead of using it to passively store their wealth in housing, according to budget documents.
It signals that the government is uncomfortable with this kind of investment. It is trying to do what it can to dampen speculation in the market, said Douglas Porter, chief economist with Bank of Montreal, adding the tax would not have that much effect on the broader market.
Story continues below advertisement
A housing boom during the pandemic has been mostly driven by domestic demand, according to realtors, with low mortgage rates and requirements to work from home pushing buyers toward bigger properties. In Ontarios suburbs and smaller cities, home values have jumped by more than 30 per cent since the start of the crisis with some areas seeing house prices jump by at least $100,000 in three months. Parts of the Maritimes, Quebec, British Columbia and the Prairies are also seeing extreme price increases.
Mr. Porter and other economists have called on policy makers to slow runaway home prices, sales activity and mortgage debt accumulation. The budget was not expected to set out sweeping housing reforms or cooling measures.
For this generation of Liberals, governments role is to do everything within its reach
Federal government targets child care, COVID-19 relief in a wave of new spending, as deficit projected to hit $354-billion
The federal tax, planned to go into effect January, 2022, imposes an annual 1-per-cent tax on the value of residential real estate that is considered to be unproductive use of Canadian housing, and owned by non-resident non-Canadians.
Foreign owners would be required to file a declaration of the current use for the property and would face significant penalties if they failed to do so. Ottawa plans to soon provide more detail, including definitions of residential property and what is considered an unproductive use of housing. A Finance Department official would not say whether using properties for short-term rentals such as Airbnb falls in the realm of unproductive use.
Personal finance columnist Rob Carrick outlines the federal budgets plans for discounted child care, money for seniors and extending the interest-free period for student loans. But the budget is light on details on how Ottawa will pay for pandemic recovery measures and what it will do to cool the housing market.
Realtors have said the annual 1-per-cent tax will not likely push foreign homeowners to rent or sell their houses. Foreign purchasers of residential real estate already pay hefty taxes in the Vancouver and Toronto regions, the countrys two priciest markets. However, Jamie Golombek, CIBCs managing director of taxation, said if the tax provides extra motivation for non residents to rent their properties, it would certainly help.
A shortage of properties has driven up home resale prices and rental rates, while hurting affordability across the spectrum. The budget does not address Canadian homeowners with second properties such as a cottage, which are often vacant for months. The plan appears similar to one enacted by Vancouver, although the citys policies apply to domestic homeowners as well.
The budget also proposed an additional $2.5-billion to create and repair nearly 36,000 new housing units. That increases the total funding for Ottawas National Housing Strategy to $72.5-billion from $70-billion. Since the 10-year plan was introduced in 2017, more than 126,000 new housing units have been built or repaired.
Story continues below advertisement
The federally backed housing is becoming available as real estate developers race to build new apartment buildings and low-rise houses. Now with Ottawa increasing immigration targets to offset 2020s shortfall of new permanent residents, economists and the real estate industry say the housing shortage will become more acute.
The budget reallocates $300-million from one of Ottawas construction programs to renovating empty office space into housing. Work-from-home mandates and business losses have sent Canadas office vacancy rate to the highest level since the early 2000s, when businesses gave up their offices after the dot-com bust. A Finance Department official would not say where these conversions would take place. But the hardest hit office market is in Calgary, where the vacancy rate is more than 30 per cent.
The budget also makes it easier for buyers to get a tax rebate on the purchase of a new home, but the price of a house is capped at $450,000, which excludes most of the Toronto and Vancouver regions.
Earlier this month, Canadas bank regulator announced plans to make it harder for borrowers to qualify for an uninsured mortgage.
These are not insignificant measures, Mr. Porter said. I just dont believe that stacked up against the tidal wave of demand that they can make much of a dent.
The 2021 federal budget will continue economic support for businesses and individuals through the summer with a roadmap to wind them down later in the year as more Canadians are vaccinated against COVID-19.
Know what is happening in the halls of power with the days top political headlines and commentary as selected by Globe editors (subscribers only). Sign up today.